There is a thread in the latest news forum related to this with links to reports in and out of the trade.
I started a retail business here in Singapore a couple of months ago selling PC components but mainly working on building mITX machines including Xeon servers, ESXi servers, HTPCs, small desktops, games machines and ... NAS boxes ..... yeah I know, not quite the right time as the floods hit Thailand.
This is what I know for fact in Singapore.
Prices between distributor and retailer, if you wanted to be competitive, for a hard drive before the flood were between 25p->50p. That would double if you bought 20 units, maybe you would get a quid for 100units and around 3 quid for 1000 at a time.
Hard drive sales are usually low profit fast pass through volume sales. They tend to go in and out the door extremely fast if you have a good price. The same is true of processors although the margins are slightly higher.
The WD distributor here does not expect any stock of 2.5" hdd for 3+ months. Stocks of 3.5" drives are now being limited to 25 pieces per retailer.
The Hitachi distributor has no stock of more or less anything.
The Seagate distributor seems to be the least affected and has 2.5" drives and 3.5" drives but the prices have jumped.
The margin on drives since the floods between distributor and retailer has increased. There is now an 4 quid margin between the distributors price and the suggested retail price but due to the market here there is only a 2.50 difference.
Small size SSDs are becoming increasingly hard to find but their prices are not so elevated even though stock is low due to the increased demand.
A 500GB Seagate 2.5" drive is currently around 60 quid excluding local tax. A 2TB Seagate S$5.9k rpm is around 110 quid.
What I believe
The margin on drives has gone up as the volume of stock, and therefore sales, has gone down.
The profit margins in the UK are bigger than Singapore based on information in the other thread and the USD unit prices I am aware of at a distributor level.
The retailer profit margins are nowhere near what people think they are for most things (including what I thought before starting out). There are exceptions where the margins are higher but these are generally for specialist items that have a slow sell through and so have to be stored until a buyer comes forward.
20% VAT is really not helping matters as it is inflating the price even higher.
Some of the stock shortages is due to companies hoarding like people expecting a conflict or disaster stripping the shelves of food.
What I do not have any information on
Margins between manufacturer and distributor and if manufacturers are holding stock back deliberately.
Details on the flooding;
Google emergency response
here (Google).
Reuters on the Bang Pa-in Industrial Park which was flooded where WD has a factory and is now stabilised and is beginning cleanup operations
here (Reuters).
Photos from around Thailand on the flooding (think before getting a new Honda made in Thailand - see pic 1
)
here (Channel News Asia).
A WD factory flooded
here (Mac World).
A Nidec flooded
here (HotHardware).
RB