House 6m above sea level. Yay or nay?

UTmaniac · 19 Nov 2019 at 12:01

Predictions about 2050 sea levels are a bit eye-watering! :eek:

https://coastal.climatecentral.org/...turn_level=return_level_1&slr_model=kopp_2014

Quartz · 19 Nov 2019 at 12:10

413x said:
Looking at a house that is close to the sea. It's only 6m above sea level on a flood risk zone.

What is the rate of costal erosion?

Martynt74 · 19 Nov 2019 at 12:11

UTmaniac said:
Predictions about 2050 sea levels are a bit eye-watering!

https://coastal.climatecentral.org/...turn_level=return_level_1&slr_model=kopp_2014

Sweet, i'd not be far off beachfront living!

413x · 19 Nov 2019 at 12:17

So,
Just been in touch with natural resources Wales.

Its actually flood zone 3 - definitely sea risk not rivers
No historic flooding
Benefits from sea defenses

Dis86 · 19 Nov 2019 at 12:48

Marvt74 said:
Sweet, i'd not be far off beachfront living!

My entire home town is under the waves from those predictions. Luckily current place is OK.

apg · 19 Nov 2019 at 16:16

Check the flood risks on the GOV website?

413x · 19 Nov 2019 at 19:13

apg said:
Check the flood risks on the GOV website?

Flood risks are sea basically. Checked every resource I can.
Still unsure. Still want it, but still worried about resale

BUDFORCE · 19 Nov 2019 at 20:00

413x said:
Flood risks are sea basically. Checked every resource I can.
Still unsure. Still want it, but still worried about resale

I don't think you have any reason to be worried, but it is your money/your peace of mind.

413x · 20 Nov 2019 at 00:37

BUDFORCE said:
I don't think you have any reason to be worried, but it is your money/your peace of mind.

I can't decide if our worries are completely over the top.

I mean apparently worst case is 2m by 2100, but a few years ago that was 1m. Could it be 4m in 5years?
If this does happen will it lose too much value and end up being a terrible move

Would 2m basically raise the water level not to the door but the water table would be so high it would destroy the house?
Is the semi clay soil type a problem ?

Never had such a tough financial decision. I'm close to bailing, as might just end up seeing it as another rental.

Quartz · 20 Nov 2019 at 00:42

413x said:
Never had such a tough financial decision. I'm close to bailing, as might just end up seeing it as another rental.

If you are in any doubt, don't do it.

413x · 20 Nov 2019 at 09:59

andicole0 said:
The National Trust has some research on its coastline responsibilities. Worth checking. What is the approximate location of your potential purchase?
Andi.

St Mellons Cardiff. The bottom of it

AHarvey · 20 Nov 2019 at 10:30

413x said:
I can't decide if our worries are completely over the top.

I mean apparently worst case is 2m by 2100, but a few years ago that was 1m. Could it be 4m in 5years?
If this does happen will it lose too much value and end up being a terrible move

Would 2m basically raise the water level not to the door but the water table would be so high it would destroy the house?
Is the semi clay soil type a problem ?

Never had such a tough financial decision. I'm close to bailing, as might just end up seeing it as another rental.

With a £30k caravan, I'd risk it, with an expensive purchase like a house, I wouldn't.

If you have any doubt walk away, otherwise you're going to spend the next 20+ years worrying about something that may or may not happen.

Not to mention, if you're having these concerns now, do you think future potential buyers won't?

Skillmister · 20 Nov 2019 at 12:48

Put it this way, if you're unsure about it you can guarantee there will be a lot of people who immediately see it as a deal breaker and walk away when you come to sell.

D.P. · 21 Nov 2019 at 22:47

Skillmister said:
Put it this way, if you're unsure about it you can guarantee there will be a lot of people who immediately see it as a deal breaker and walk away when you come to sell.

This, if you have concerns then so does everyone else. in the future risk of flooding will be higher and it will be a more regular feature in the news. So expect bigger issues selling in the future. you could have course put in a low ball offer to reduce future risks.

413x · 21 Nov 2019 at 23:09

We genuinely still cannot decide. Going to give it some thoughts over the weekend

Is so annoying. Its next to a park, in a quiet street but still close enough to Cardiff.

Having a hard time on this one.

AHarvey · 25 Nov 2019 at 09:43

413x said:
We genuinely still cannot decide. Going to give it some thoughts over the weekend

Is so annoying. Its next to a park, in a quiet street but still close enough to Cardiff.

Having a hard time on this one.

"Tropical storm Sebastian is due to hit the UK with 22ft waves"

22ft is 6.7m, it's not just the sea levels you need to consider, it's storms + rain saturating the land. Might be worth taking a drive down there when the storm hits and see if you think it looks ok.

Bunka · 28 Nov 2019 at 20:51

AHarvey said:
"Tropical storm Sebastian is due to hit the UK with 22ft waves"

22ft is 6.7m, it's not just the sea levels you need to consider, it's storms + rain saturating the land. Might be worth taking a drive down there when the storm hits and see if you think it looks ok.

Good shout, the storm should be hitting the UK on Tuesday, not long to wait. Regardless of storm surge, will it be bleak and utterly miserable if you wanted to pop out to the shops?