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Poll: General election voting round 4

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by semi-pro waster, 21 Apr 2015.

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Voting intentions in the General Election?

Poll closed 28 Apr 2015.
  1. Alliance Party of Northern Ireland

    2 vote(s)
    0.3%
  2. Conservative

    276 vote(s)
    39.5%
  3. Democratic Unionist Party

    1 vote(s)
    0.1%
  4. Green Party

    41 vote(s)
    5.9%
  5. Labour

    125 vote(s)
    17.9%
  6. Liberal Democrats

    50 vote(s)
    7.2%
  7. Not voting/will spoil ballot

    33 vote(s)
    4.7%
  8. Other party (not named)

    5 vote(s)
    0.7%
  9. Plaid Cymru

    3 vote(s)
    0.4%
  10. Respect Party

    2 vote(s)
    0.3%
  11. Scottish National Party

    31 vote(s)
    4.4%
  12. Social Democratic and Labour Party

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  13. Sinn Fein

    1 vote(s)
    0.1%
  14. UKIP

    128 vote(s)
    18.3%
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  1. Mynight

    Soldato

    Joined: 16 Jun 2013

    Posts: 5,446

    Why are they laying down?
     
  2. robgmun

    Capodecina

    Joined: 30 Apr 2006

    Posts: 16,326

    Location: London

    At least DP has stopped with the BS that UKIP vote share is declining

    Support for #UKIP in the latest polls from several firms:
    18% Survation
    17% Panelbase
    15% TNS
    14% Populus
    13% YouGov
    13% Ashcroft

    Same as it has been for the last 2 months
     
  3. Destination

    Capodecina

    Joined: 31 May 2009

    Posts: 20,429

    GOAN NORN IRON!
    Top of the class again.
    It would appear the DUP couldn't keep quiet for another 2 weeks, and have blamed homosexuals for everything again.
    DUP the 'Christian' ISIS.

    http://www.theguardian.com/commenti...ent-tories-anti-scottish-coalition-homophobic

    Would someone consider testing nuclear bombs on us please? Just to put us out of our misery.

    -edit
    In case you think they are a bit party, or not representative, they have the largest amount of MPs in Northern Ireland, 5th largest party in the UK, and Jim Wells the man in the article is the Northern Ireland health minister.
     
    Last edited: 25 Apr 2015
  4. ElliorR

    Sgarrista

    Joined: 20 Feb 2009

    Posts: 9,188

    Location: Not where I'd like to be

    But that's all OK as they're a right wing party and everything the right does is righteous.
     
  5. Freddie1980

    Soldato

    Joined: 25 Sep 2009

    Posts: 7,380

    Location: Billericay, UK

    UKIP have been polling as high 23% in 2015 and close we get to polling day the more their rating slips. More importantly it's how the remainder of the support votes at the election i.e if they stick to their guns or vote tactically to keep labour out of marginal seats.
     
  6. do_ron_ron

    Capodecina

    Joined: 23 Oct 2002

    Posts: 10,450

    Ah yes, the "devolved" parliament. I don't know if people in England heard about the fuss over the last Scottish Labour leader. She quit because she said she was treated as a 'branch manager' by the Westminster party. Policy was still being made by Westminster for the "devolved" parliament. In other words Scottish people voting for their own laws was a myth while Labour was in power in Scotland.
    The new 'branch manager', Murphy, has add a clause to his party that from now on Scottish laws will be made by Scottish Labour MSPs in Edinburgh. What was meant to be happening from the time Edinburgh was set up.
    This is another reason Scottish Labour are taking a bashing.

    The silly referendum argument. The SNP, their raison d'etre being independence will obviously work for that in the future. The argument that they will try for another referendum in 2016 is just plain silly. Even the SNP leader said "something would have change before another referendum was called". It would have to be a desire from the bottom up. You cannot drive a successful vote on something like this from the top down. The SNP would only be damaged by another no vote, there is no great desire for another re-run.
     
  7. pieplough

    Mobster

    Joined: 15 Jul 2008

    Posts: 3,612

    Location: Glasgow

    Not too surprised by the poll results here, blue by design and blue by nature.
     
  8. gobbo

    Mobster

    Joined: 25 Dec 2002

    Posts: 2,862

    Individual polls yes, but in general most "poll of polls" have had them anywhere between 13%-18%.

    Unless the polls are wildly inaccurate, UKIP are on course for 2-3 seats maximum (South Thanet, Clacton and Rochester and Strood). Of those 3, the gap between UKIP and top parties are very close. In fact Clacton is their most likely win, and this is around 74% (Based on data from ElectionForecast.co.uk)

    I think we will see a lot of UKIP in 2nd and 3rd place across England, but of course you get nothing for coming in 2nd place
     
  9. eatcustard

    Mobster

    Joined: 20 Feb 2010

    Posts: 4,504

    Location: Darkest Worcestershire

    Means nothing, in 2010 the BNP got more votes than the polls suggested by quite a margin. 1.9% actual to 0.7% on what polls expected thats quite a big difference for such a small party.

    UKip rating have been around 14-15% for months same as Labour and Tory have been around 33-34%.

    You often find people will not admit they will vote UKip as they may be branded as racist so say Torys or Labour to the pollsters.
     
  10. Uther

    Capodecina

    Joined: 16 Jun 2005

    Posts: 15,114

    Any party that teams up with UKIP (and perhaps the SNP) will be committing political suicide for the 2020 election.
    This election is toxic, one of the worst I have seen IMO. Based almost entirely on fear and negativity.
     
  11. D.P.

    Caporegime

    Joined: 18 Oct 2002

    Posts: 31,339

    With UKIP I agree but they will have so few seats it won't make a difference so no one will.

    With SNP there doesn't have to be an official coalition, merely an agreement in place that will block the Tories.
     
  12. gobbo

    Mobster

    Joined: 25 Dec 2002

    Posts: 2,862

    Hence why I think we will have another GE in 2015, probably give it 6 months.
     
  13. delta0

    Soldato

    Joined: 21 Oct 2012

    Posts: 6,987

    Location: London/S Korea

    Exactly this. This election is dividing people worse than ever before. Nationalists are not healthy for this country.
     
  14. SciNeT

    Wise Guy

    Joined: 5 Nov 2004

    Posts: 1,587

    Location: Central UK

    Looks like my borough is a very safe tory seat so it's a tactical UKIP vote from me for the numbers game. Regardless of seats it's the numbers we want, a growing number of supporters with a sizeable chunk of votes going to UKIP will have a knock on effect with the mainstream parties, we are seeing this already with the backbone Cameron has shown only this week with the Mediterranean migrant problem, we just need to twist their arms tighter.
     
  15. McPhee

    Soldato

    Joined: 17 Apr 2009

    Posts: 6,882

    Probably right. Just seen a story on the BBC about how the Lib Dems won't be part of any government that has an arrangement with the SNP. They also won't partner with the second place party. Makes a Labour/Lib Dem coalition unlikely.

    A LAB/LIB coalition with SNP support was the most likely combination to provide a stable majority. Now we're looking at a Labour minority government with SNP (and possibly Green/Plaid) support, or a rainbow coalition of the Tories, Lib Dems, the DUP and maybe UKIP (if they get enough seats to make a difference). Either way, the majority will be so small that it provides too much opportunity for back-benchers and extremists to influence proceedings. Not ideal.
     
    Last edited: 25 Apr 2015
  16. PlacidCasual

    Soldato

    Joined: 13 May 2003

    Posts: 6,982

    UKIP are often second in some key Labour heartlands. Conservative tactical voting for UKIP would be an interesting phenomenon. The suggestion that UKIP are an English party isn't borne out by polling. In Welsh Labour constituencies they often do well. They are becoming a national party of the unfashionable working classes.

    Earlier discussions about austerity seem to forget that one of the main purposes of our Austerity-lite was to reassure bond purchasers that the UK was still a safe investment. Given the mammoth size of our debt even small increases in bond rates could have severely affected interest payments and thus revenue spending. We already pay £50bn a year on bond interest imagine how costly it would be if we weren't considered relatively safe.

    Austerity in the UK has been mostly a paper tiger. Ask the Greeks or Irish what it means.
     
  17. Destination

    Capodecina

    Joined: 31 May 2009

    Posts: 20,429

    Indeed, we didn't spend as much as before, but there were no public service bodies taking entire pay cuts across the entire spectrum, an actual reduction in wages, bar a few specific instances (in the more distant province).
     
  18. Snookums

    Mobster

    Joined: 27 Mar 2013

    Posts: 3,421

    Location: Nottingham

    I'm genuinely surprised at the amount of UKIP support, I'm not one to **** on others political views but a majority of their policies are outrageous. Although to be fair I did particularly agree with most of the parties political ideologies.
     
  19. Qitarah

    Wise Guy

    Joined: 25 Nov 2011

    Posts: 1,253

    Yer I agree, I am shocked at seeing UKIP polling double figures, like what?! I really don't get it.
     
  20. XeNoN89

    Sgarrista

    Joined: 6 Mar 2007

    Posts: 8,395

    Location: SW19

    Sounds like you actually need to read their policies
     
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